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John Dewan's Stat of the Week

 

Who's Hot and Who's Not...according to Bill James

April 30, 2015

Several years ago, Bill James devised a system that measures how hot or cold a player currently is. And it's as easy to understand as a thermometer. His temperature rating scales a player’s hotness or coldness on the same scale as Fahrenheit temperatures, where players start at a room temperature of 72 degrees and then increase or decrease from there based on how well they have performed of late.

Let’s take a look at the hottest hitters through yesterday’s games:

The Hottest Hitters, April 30
Player Temperature
Jose Altuve 99°
Josh Reddick 96°
Denard Span 96°
Paul Goldschmidt 95°
Manny Machado 94°
Mark Trumbo 94°
Dee Gordon 94°
Jake Marisnick 94°
Miguel Cabrera 93°
A.J. Pierzynski 92°

 

Jose Altuve is the closest batter to 100 degrees. He has two or more hits in seven consecutive days, including four doubles in the most recent three games. Josh Reddick can’t boast multiple hits over his last seven games, but he does have an old-fashioned seven-game hitting streak. Denard Span’s hot streak is more compact. He has seven hits over his last two days, including two home runs and four doubles.

One name noticeably absent from the current hottest hitter list is Adrian Gonzalez. No one was hotter than Gonzalez to start the season. He had 10 hits in his first 13 at-bats of the season including five home runs. He’s cooled off somewhat from that torrid start, but his peak temperature of 129 degrees is not only the best by any hitter so far this season—the highest peak temperature by any player since the start of the decade.

The Highest Highs of Hitters, 2010-2015
Player Date Temperature
Adrian Gonzalez 4/10/2015 129°
David Ortiz 5/14/2014 127°
Adrian Beltre 8/24/2012 127°
Jose Bautista 7/30/2010 126°
Carlos Santana 7/29/2014 125°
Giancarlo Stanton 8/14/2010 125°

 

Meanwhile, here are the coldest hitters through yesterday’s games:

The Coldest Hitters, April 30
Player Temperature
Jorge Soler 42°
Drew Stubbs 46°
Chris Iannetta 46°
Mike Zunino 47°
Casey McGehee 48°
Christian Yelich 48°
Andrew Lambo 48°
Jeff Francoeur 48°
Ian Desmond 48°
Geovany Soto 48°

 

Jorge Soler has some separation from the rest of the field of cold hitters. He has just two hits in his most recent 26 at-bats with 15 strikeouts. Drew Stubbs has been a part-time player for the Rockies this season and is hitless in his 20 at-bats this season. Chris Iannetta and Mike Zunino are hitting .093 and .121, respectively. The good news for Zunino is that his .161 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) is the fifth lowest in baseball and is 86 points below his career level. His can be expected to bounce back moving forward.


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 TitlePublished Date
Edit Who's Hot and Who's Not...according to Bill James Apr 30 2015
Edit Shifts Continue to Rise Apr 23 2015
Edit Home Runs and Home Run Robberies Apr 15 2015
Edit What is the Upper Limit of Shifts? Mar 30 2015
Edit A Strike on Every Pitch? Mar 20 2015
Edit Could Jonathan Lucroy Be As Good As Yadier Molina? Mar 06 2015
Edit Who Will Be The 2015 Statistical Leaders? Feb 26 2015
Edit Shift or Get Off the Pot Feb 13 2015
Edit The Best Projected Defensive Infield and Outfield Feb 06 2015
Edit Let's Eliminate The Shift Jan 30 2015
Edit The Most Pitcher & Hitter Friendly Umpires Jan 16 2015
Edit The Best Baserunning Team in MLB Jan 09 2015
Edit Are Defensive Runs Saved Predictive? Dec 31 2014
Edit The Downside of the Recent Padres Acquisitions Dec 19 2014
Edit The Flat Bat Award 2014 Dec 04 2014
Edit Mark Buehrle – One of the Most Durable Pitchers of All Time Nov 25 2014
Edit Is Madison Bumgarner the World's #1 Starting Pitcher? Nov 14 2014
Edit Giants Defensive Positioning a Big Assist in Game 7 Victory Nov 05 2014
Edit The 2014 Fielding Bible Awards Oct 30 2014
Edit Who Gives a Shift? Oct 23 2014
Edit Who are the 2014 Fielding Bible Award / Gold Glove Contenders? (Part II) Oct 06 2014
Edit Who are the 2014 Fielding Bible Award / Gold Glove Contenders? (Part I) Oct 01 2014
Edit Pitchers with the Best and Worst Run Support Sep 18 2014
Edit Which teams have come on in the second half? Sep 09 2014
Edit Instant Replay Sep 02 2014
Edit Top Defensive Players for 2014 Aug 20 2014
Edit Who Are The 2014 MVP Candidates? Aug 08 2014
Edit How Do Shifts Affect League-Wide Batting Averages? Jul 25 2014
Edit The Best and Worst Baserunners in 2014 Jul 18 2014
Edit The White Sox Blow Another Lead Jul 10 2014
Edit Shifts Against Right-Handed Hitters Jun 26 2014
Edit Cannon Arms in 2014 Jun 10 2014
Edit The Most Improved Defensive Teams Jun 06 2014
Edit How Many More No-Hitters This Year? May 29 2014
Edit Rookie of the Year – Tanaka or Abreu? May 16 2014
Edit Can the National League Reverse a 10-Year Trend? May 09 2014
Edit Who Are the Best and Worst Defensive Teams So Far? Apr 25 2014
Edit Shifts Still on the Rise Apr 18 2014
Edit Can the First 10 Games Predict Playoff Chances? Apr 11 2014
Edit Who Will Be The 2014 Statistical Leaders? Mar 31 2014
Edit Can Spring Training Statistics Predict Breakout Power Seasons? Mar 25 2014
Edit Who Will Be The Best Defenders In 2014? Mar 11 2014
Edit Sochi Olympics - Dominant Countries Feb 25 2014
Edit United States on Track for Most Olympic Medals Feb 17 2014
Edit Sochi Predictions Feb 10 2014
Edit Super Bowl Predictor System Jan 30 2014
Edit Throwing Strikes Jan 20 2014
Edit Cannon Arms in 2013 Jan 10 2014
Edit Teams that Best Controlled the Running Game Dec 30 2013
Edit Opponent OPS and the Cy Young Award Dec 20 2013
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